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InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey Shows Shift in Momentum Towards Clinton in Texas Democratic Primary Race

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff

February 28, 2008InsiderAdvantage’s latest survey in Texas shows a shift, at least temporarily, in momentum in the Democratic race for president. An earlier InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion survey conducted Monday night for the Southern Political Report showed Sen. Barack Obama with a one-point lead in the contest.  

But a survey of 591 registered voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic primary in Texas conducted last night (February 27) indicates that Sen. Hillary Clinton has regained the lead in a race that remains within the survey’s margin of error. The results were:  

Clinton: 47%
Obama: 43%
Undecided: 10%

The survey has been weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. Margin of error +/- 4%

InsiderAdvantage/Creator’s Syndicate’s Matt Towery:  

“This is a classic sign that a race might be starting to turn. We see the undecided voters increasing and unsettled numbers in key age brackets. Moreover, Clinton has expanded her lead among Hispanic voters, while holding onto white votes. She has dropped slightly among women, but has gained among men.  

“Let me stress that these polls are snapshots of the moment. I am not yet willing to say that there is a definitive trend, such as the one that our polling on Super Tuesday detected for Mike Huckabee in Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee.  

“But Southern states – and Texas is well within the scope of coverage for our Southern Political Report, founded by Hastings Wyman in Washington 30 years ago – tend to have more complex demographic weightings in polls than most other states.  

“If these trends continue over the coming days, then it might be fair to say the race is slowly drifting Clinton’s way. For now, I think it’s at least fair to say that has turned momentum, to some degree, back in her direction.”


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