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New InsiderAdvantage Survey Obama Headed to Victory in Mississippi

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff

March 10, 2008An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll conducted March 9 shows that Sen. Barack Obama is extending his lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Mississippi Democratic presidential primary race.  

The survey of 338 registered likely voters in the primary has been weighted for age, race, and gender. It has a margin or error of plus or minus 6%

Obama: 54%
Clinton: 37%
Undecided: 9% 

InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “ Last week it appeared that there was a possibility that Republicans might crossover to vote in the Democratic primary. (The state has an open primary).  

“However, this fresh survey suggests that no such trend is developing. The only thing to watch on Election Day is whether Clinton can somehow stay in a comfortable zone of the 40 percent range. This turned out not to be the case in Wyoming.

“There is some possibility that turnout patterns might allow for a slightly better chance of a face-saving number for Clinton. However, virtually all of the African-American respondents have moved in Sen. Obama’s direction since last week, and this consolidation – which, as we noted last week, always occurs late in southern-state races – all but assures a solid Obama win on Tuesday.”  Click here for crosstabs.


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