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Obama Inching Closer in Indiana

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff

May 5, 2008Hillary Clinton is like one of those blow-up punching bags that keep popping back up when you slug them. For her to pop up and then pop back with a punch of her own, she must at least win Tuesday’s Indiana primary. Our latest poll shows that she has a good chance of doing that.  Here’s the latest results in Indiana: 

Hillary Clinton 48%
Barack Obama 44%
Undecided 8% 

The poll was conducted by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion on May 4 among 502 likely voters in the May 6 Indiana Democratic presidential primary. The margin of error is plus or minus 4%. Data have been weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. 

Interestingly, most polls show Clinton winning handily in Indiana and losing big in North Carolina. Our InsiderAdvantage polls show both races tightening as Election Day now I just hours away. (InsiderAdvantage shows Clinton pulling to within 3% – within the poll’s margin of error – in North Carolina. See www.southernpoliticalreport.com). 

Obama’s problem in Indiana is as clear as black and white, literally. It appears he will pull in his customary 80%-plus of African-Americans, but blacks make up only about 10% of all voters in the Indiana Democratic Primary. Meanwhile, Clinton is leading 54% to 41% among whites.  Click here for the crosstabs

   
   

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