New poll: Roy Barnes commands the field
By Dick Pettys
July 9, 2010 —
Former Georgia Gov. Roy Barnes gets 59 percent of the support of registered, likely Democratic primary voters in the latest WSB-TV and InsiderAdvantage poll, released July 9.
The poll was conducted the night of July 8 and included responses from 508 individuals. The poll was weighted for age, race and gender and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.
Roy Barnes, 59 percent
Thurbert Baker, 15 percent
Bill Bolton, 3 percent
DuBose Porter, 2 percent
David Poythress, 2 percent
Carl Camon, 1 percent
Randal Mangham, 0 percent
No opinion, 18 percent
Matt Towery, CEO of InsiderAdvantage, commented:
“While it’s likely that Barnes will trend down a bit, this number is high enough with a little more than a week to go [July 20] to lead me to believe Barnes will likely win the Democratic nomination without a runoff. Specifically, he is carrying 65 percent of the African-American vote, which will dominate the contest.
“Attorney General Baker’s advertising, while extremely well produced, may simply not have enough TV air time behind it to move the African-American vote in his direction at a sufficient level to force a runoff.
“I do imagine that the final numbers of this race will have Barnes closer to the 52 percent or 53 percent level, but I am becoming increasingly convinced that Barnes will win without having to deal with a bloody Democratic primary runoff election.”