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New poll: Roy Barnes commands the field

By Dick Pettys
InsiderAdvantage Georgia

July 9, 2010

Former Georgia Gov. Roy Barnes gets 59 percent of the support of registered, likely Democratic primary voters in the latest WSB-TV and InsiderAdvantage poll, released July 9.

The poll was conducted the night of July 8 and included responses from 508 individuals. The poll was weighted for age, race and gender and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.

The results:

Roy Barnes, 59 percent

Thurbert Baker, 15 percent

Bill Bolton, 3 percent

DuBose Porter, 2 percent

David Poythress, 2 percent

Carl Camon, 1 percent

Randal Mangham, 0 percent

No opinion, 18 percent

Matt Towery, CEO of InsiderAdvantage, commented:

“While it’s likely that Barnes will trend down a bit, this number is high enough with a little more than a week to go [July 20] to lead me to believe Barnes will likely win the Democratic nomination without a runoff. Specifically, he is carrying 65 percent of the African-American vote, which will dominate the contest.

“Attorney General Baker’s advertising, while extremely well produced, may simply not have enough TV air time behind it to move the African-American vote in his direction at a sufficient level to force a runoff.

“I do imagine that the final numbers of this race will have Barnes closer to the 52 percent or 53 percent level, but I am becoming increasingly convinced that Barnes will win without having to deal with a bloody Democratic primary runoff election.”


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