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InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position: McCain, Obama Tied Nationally

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff

September 9, 2008 — InsiderAdvantage / Poll Position began its continuous polling of the national “horserace” between Republican nominee John McCain and Democratic nominee Barack Obama on Monday, Sept. 8.

The results, if the election were held today:

McCain: 46%
Obama: 46%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 6%

See below for the specific demographic breakdown.

The survey of 807 registered likely voters was weighted for age, race, gender, and political party affiliation. The margin of error is +/- 3.36%

InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery:

“Our survey suggests that McCain gained ground, at least temporarily, by catching the attention of the youngest of voters, particularly younger females. The independent vote, which had drifted in other surveys towards McCain, in our poll seemed to be leveling out. I think it is safe to say that this race is statistically tied and any suggestion that either side has a huge advantage at this point would be off-base.”

This benchmark poll marks the beginning of daily tracking which will continue through the election.

  McCain Obama
18-29 44% 49%
30-44 39% 54%
45-64 50% 43%
65+ 51% 38%
White 50% 41%
Black 13% 82%
Hispanic 48% 52%
Male 51% 40%
Female 42% 52%
Democrat 15% 79%
Republican 84% 6%
Independent 45% 47%

InsiderAdvantage / Poll Position polls are conducted by telephone with registered voters. Like all other major polling firms, data are weighted by age, race, gender and political party affiliation. Poll Position Chief Pollsters Matt Towery and Jeff Shusterman have been independent pollsters for nearly 20 years.

For a subscription to internals and cross-tabulations through the election, contact tricia@insideradvantage.com


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