Vox, Virginia, & 2016

Vox populi: Senate polls favor GOP in AR, KY & LA. Republican Senate candidates led in two polls released over the weekend. In Arkansas, it was 43% for GOP challenger Tom Cotton to 38% for incumbent US Sen. Mark Pryor (D), according to a Public Policy Polling (D) survey. In Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) led Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes by 46% to 42% among likely voters, but Grimes led by 38% to 36% among registered voters. “Likely voters” generally provide a more accurate result. The survey was taken by Ipsos. And in Louisiana, a CNN/ORC poll shows US Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) with 43%, US Rep. Bill Cassidy 40% and Tea Party favorite Rob Maness with 9%. In a runoff, it’s 50% for Cassidy, 47% for Landrieu.


Virginia: Post hits Comstock. While not officially endorsing Democrat John Foust for the open congressional seat in Virginia’s 10th District, composed of District of Columbia suburbs, the Washington Post made clear its displeasure at GOP nominee Barbara Comstock. The Post editorial, titled “A sheep in Wolf’s clothing,” contended that, unlike retiring US Rep. Frank Wolf (R), Comstock as a state lawmaker had followed rightwing ideology rather than the needs of her constituents, especially on the transportation plan for Northern Virginia.


2016: Cruz wins social conservatives’ straw poll. At last weekend’s gathering of the Values Voter Summit, US Sen. Ted Cruz (TX) led the straw ballot for the next Republican presidential nomination. Cruz had 25%, followed by neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 20%, Mike Huckabee 12%, Rick Santorum 10% and Gov. Bobby Jindal (LA) 7%. Last place went to US Sen. Rand Paul (KY), whose libertarian-laced message did not resonate with most of the Christian conservatives in attendance. Of note: Cruz’s 25% was down from the 42% he received in 2013.