6th Congressional District runoff going down to the wire

6th Congressional District runoff going down to the wire

By Randy Evans – The cruelest part of politics is the numbers. No matter how good the consultants, the message and the advertising, elections are inevitably decided in Georgia by a simple mathematical calculation— did one candidate receive more than 50 percent of the total votes counted? On election night, nothing else matters. Certainly all the variables from turnout to fundraising can have a significant impact on who gets the most votes. Yet, none alone decide the outcome. Pollsters can be wrong. The most money invested in a campaign does not always win. Pundits’ predictions rarely prove out. So, when the Secretary of Health and Human Services left Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, few predicted what would happen next. Much like the 2016 presidential election, GOP candidates came out of the woodwork believing that if Donald Trump could win, so could they. That the 6th District was Republican-leaning turf was assumed. Democrats played a different game. Eyeing the outcome of the 2016 presidential election in the 6th District (where President Trump eked out a less than two percent win), Democrats concentrated their efforts on a single candidate– Jon Ossoff. The hope was that a serious surge of money, resources and turnout in a midterm special election might produce an unexpected win– especially given the deep divisions between the 11 GOP candidates in the race. By the time the warning bells went off in GOP circles, the Democrats had raised an incredible amount of money, created an impressive get-out-the-vote political machine and dominated the airwaves with pro-Ossoff political advertisements. The effort was so effective that, had the election occurred just one...